First combined forecast for the 2019 general election
By Stephen Fisher, John Kenny and Rosalind Shorrocks (Universities of Oxford, Southampton and Manchester respectively) There aren’t so many different forecasts for the general election out yet, but...
View ArticleSecond combined forecast for the 2019 general election
By Stephen Fisher, John Kenny and Rosalind Shorrocks There are still just a few different forecasts for the general election. Perhaps the big changes during the 2017 campaign have made people more...
View ArticleThird combined forecast for the 2019 general election
By Stephen Fisher, John Kenny and Rosalind Shorrocks Once again all three sources of seat forecasts suggest the Conservatives are heading to a comfortable majority, while Labour are on course for a...
View ArticleFourth combined forecast for the 2019 general election
By Stephen Fisher, John Kenny and Rosalind Shorrocks There has not been much change in our combined forecast over the last week. The Conservatives are still apparently headed towards a comfortable...
View ArticleFifth combined forecast for the 2019 general election
By Stephen Fisher, John Kenny and Rosalind Shorrocks Since our update last week there have been several new forecasts, most notably including the YouGov MRP (multilevel regression and...
View ArticleFinal combined forecast for the 2019 general election
By Stephen Fisher, John Kenny and Rosalind Shorrocks Since our first combined forecast at the start of the campaign, the number of forecasts for this general election has grown substantially. All of...
View ArticleHow did the election forecasts do in 2019?
By Stephen Fisher, John Kenny, and Rosalind Shorrocks. 29th May 2024 Pretty well. Whereas many of the forecasts for the 2017 British general election incorrectly pointed to a Conservative majority, and...
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